Life Expectancy - GMAT AWA Sample Essays

GMAT AWA essays are checked by a combination of qualified and approved human raters and a machine algorithm. In the GMAT AWA section candidates will analyze the line of reasoning and the use of evidence in the argument. In this GMAT AWA sample essay the author advises investors to stop investing in hotels and invest instead in hospitals and nursing homes. Candidates can practice similar topics in GMAT AWA practice papers.

Topic: The following appeared in a newspaper story advising about investments:

“As overall life expectancy continues to rise, the population of our country is growing increasingly older. For example, more than 20 percent of the residents of one of our more populated regions are now at least 65 years old, and occupancy rates at resort hotels in that region declined significantly during the past six months. Because of these two related trends, a prudent investor would be well advised to sell interest in hotels and invest in hospitals and nursing homes instead.”

Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.

Answer:

The argument states that the overall future keeps on rising, the number of residents of the country is becoming older. The author clarifies the case by showing that an excess of 20% of the occupants of one of the areas are 65 years of age, and occupancy rates at resort lodgings in that district declined essentially during the previous half-year. With these two related certainties, a prudent investor would be advised to sell interest in hotels and invest in hospitals and nursing homes instead. The argument depends on presumptions for which there is no obvious proof.

Furthermore, the author advises this because as technology and medical care keep on improving, life expectancy rates have kept on increasing. This change in demographic - a larger senior resident population - can help in huge financial results. However, in this event, the author attempts to relate two inconsequential incidents. Consequently, the claim is unconvincing and has a few defects.

First, the argument promptly agrees that the life expectancy keeps on rising, the number of residents in the country is increasingly older. The claim is a stretch since life expectancy isn't just one factor that country's population is growing increasingly older. For instance, if the increasing rate of birth of the country is more than the population growing older, it weakens the argument. The proportion of the population between the rate of birth and the growth rate has huge significance to express the conclusion. The argument has been much more clear on the off chance that it undeniably states that the data of the current population has various layers.

Also, Check:

Second, the arguments declare that 20% of the occupants of one more populated district are currently somewhere around 65 years of age, and occupancy rates at resort hotels in that area declined radically during recent months. This is again an extremely frail unsupported argument that doesn't exhibit any correlation between older age and occupancy rates at resort hotels. Because of rare elements like preferences, taste, inflation, income level, and unemployment. If the argument has given enough proof that the older age doesn’t go to occupy resort hotels then the argument would have been very convincing.

Finally, if the author has provided answers to - Why did the resort hotels decrease significantly during the past six months rather than decline gradually? Do older-aged don't go to resort hotels? Without convincing answers to the claim, the arguments seem just wishful thinking.

The argument could be strengthened if the author has provided the data that showed the correlation between these two events. Also, data about other similar regions encountering similar events would significantly strengthen the author's claim. Without additional evidence, it is difficult to confirm that an increase in residents of at least 65 years old has led to a decrease in occupancy rates at resort hotels.

Taking everything into account, the argument is imperfect for the previously mentioned reasons and is hence unconvincing. It very well may be impressively reinforced if the author has referenced all of the important facts of early termination above-mentioned defects. To evaluate the benefits of a specific circumstance/option, it is necessary to have full information on all contributing factors. Without this data, the argument stays unconfirmed and open to discussion.

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